The development and validation of a dashboard prototype for real-time suicide mortality data.

Introduction/Aim: Data visualisation is key to informing data-driven decision-making, yet this is an underexplored area of suicide surveillance. By way of enhancing a real-time suicide surveillance system model, an interactive dashboard prototype has been developed to facilitate emerging cluster detection, risk profiling and trend observation, as well as to establish a formal data sharing connection with key stakeholders via an intuitive interface. Materials and Methods: Individual-level demographic and circumstantial data on cases of confirmed suicide and open verdicts meeting the criteria for suicide in County Cork 2008-2017 were analysed to validate the model. The retrospective and prospective space-time scan statistics based on a discrete Poisson model were employed via the R software environment using the "rsatscan" and "shiny" packages to conduct the space-time cluster analysis and deliver the mapping and graphic components encompassing the dashboard interface. Results: Using the best-fit parameters, the retrospective scan statistic returned several emerging non-significant clusters detected during the 10-year period, while the prospective approach demonstrated the predictive ability of the model. The outputs of the investigations are visually displayed using a geographical map of the identified clusters and a timeline of cluster occurrence. Discussion: The challenges of designing and implementing visualizations for suspected suicide data are presented through a discussion of the development of the dashboard prototype and the potential it holds for supporting real-time decision-making. Conclusions: The results demonstrate that integration of a cluster detection approach involving geo-visualisation techniques, space-time scan statistics and predictive modelling would facilitate prospective early detection of emerging clusters, at-risk populations, and locations of concern. The prototype demonstrates real-world applicability as a proactive monitoring tool for timely action in suicide prevention by facilitating informed planning and preparedness to respond to emerging suicide clusters and other concerning trends.

BUILDING QUALITY IMPROVEMENT CAPACITY FOR RHEUMATOLOGY: OUTCOMES FROM THE FIRST BSR NATIONAL WORKSHOP

Background/Aims Quality improvement (QI) is now an expected part of healthcare professional practice. After identifying a gap in available training and successfully delivering a QI course for 35 clinicians at the Northwest Rheumatology Club, trainee representatives were invited by the BSR invited to convene a national workshop. Methods The first BSR Quality Improvement Practical Methodology Workshop was held in March 2021 (online, due to COVID-19). Materials were adapted from the well-established Trainees Improving Patient Safety through Quality Improvement (TIPSQI) initiative. Plenaries covered the Model for Improvement, process mapping, SMART aims, driver diagrams, stakeholder engagement, illustrated using rheumatologyspecific case-studies. Delegates (with mixed experience / professional role) practiced using tools in small, facilitated, breakout rooms. Precourse surveys informed course design. Post-course and six-month follow up surveys evaluated impact. Because there are no validated tools to evaluate the impact of QI training, Kirkpatrick's four-step hierarchical model, commonly used in this context, was employed. Results Of 30 delegates (consultants, trainees, pharmacists, nurses, physiotherapists), 28, 22 and 4 completed pre-course, post-course and six-month surveys, respectively (Table 1). For Kirkpatrick level 1, 'reaction', all respondents were 'satisfied', with 100% recommending to colleagues. Using driver diagrams as an exemplar to evaluate level 2, 'learning', pre-course, delegates were: not aware 16/28(57.1%), aware 9/28(32.1%), confident to use 3/28(10.1%), 0/29(0%) confident to teach. Post-course improvements showed confidence to use 22/ 22(100%), and teach 12/22(54.6%) (maintained at six months). Given low numbers of six-month respondents, assessing long-term impact is challenging. Evaluating level 3, 'behaviour', all 4/4(100%) respondents conducted QI post-course, with 2/4(50%) teaching. Delegates reported that the course gave confidence to use tools and support others. In evaluating level 4, 'results', 1/4(25%) felt the course had changed the impact of their work, with 3/4(75%) reporting time and institutional constraints as barriers to conducting QI. Conclusion The QI course has been commissioned as a BSR annual 'core educational' offering, with feedback showing it was needed, wanted, and effective in delivering core QI principles. In response to six-month feedback, additional post-course-support is planned in future, aiming to capacity build expertise in QI and embed a sustainable culture of improvement across the rheumatology community.

High Fecal Carriage of Multidrug Resistant Bacteria in the Community among Children in Northwestern Tanzania.

Colonization of multidrug resistant (MDR) bacteria is associated with subsequent invasive infections in children with comorbidities. This study aimed to determine the resistance profile and factors associated with MDR pathogen colonization among HIV-and HIV+ children below five years of age in Mwanza, Tanzania. A total of 399 (HIV- 255 and HIV+ 144) children were enrolled and investigated for the presence of MDR bacteria. The median [IQR] age of children was 19 (10-36) months. Out of 27 Staphylococcus aureus colonizing the nasal cavity, 16 (59.5%) were methicillin resistant while 132/278 (47.2%) of Enterobacteriaceae from rectal swabs were resistant to third generation cephalosporins, with 69.7% (92/132) exhibiting extended spectrum beta lactamase (ESBL) phenotypes. The proportion of resistance to gentamicin, amoxicillin/clavulanic acid and meropenem were significantly higher among HIV+ than HIV- children. A history of antibiotic use in the last month OR 2.62 [1.1, 6.9] (p = 0.04) and history of a relative admitted from the same household in the past three months OR 3.73 [1.1, 13.2] (p = 0.03) independently predicted ESBL rectal colonization. HIV+ children had significantly more fecal carriage of isolates resistant to uncommonly used antibiotics. There is a need to strengthen antimicrobial stewardship and Infection Prevention and Control (IPC) programs to prevent the emergence and spread of MDR pathogens in children.

The persistent challenges faced by vascular surgery services during the UK coronavirus pandemic: a snapshot qualitative survey.

INTRODUCTION: The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic continues to affect the NHS. The Vascular and Endovascular Research Network (VERN) COvid Vascular sERvice (COVER) study has prospectively shown the significant global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on vascular surgery. The aim of this study is to investigate the way in which this second wave has affected surgeons' ability to treat patients with urgent vascular conditions, using contemporaneous snapshot data from 30 UK vascular centres. METHODS: This is a contemporary (18-28 January 2021) re-run of the Tier 1 COVER survey. This used closed and open questions, related to centres' provision of common vascular services, threshold for treatment, imaging, screening, staff and theatre availability, multidisciplinary team input, clinics, personal protective equipment, vaccination policies and case-backlogs. The survey was disseminated to clinicians via email. A service reduction score was calculated. RESULTS: Forty-two complete responses were received from 30 vascular centres (England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales). Overall, 56.7% of units are performing only urgent procedures. The threshold for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair has increased in the majority of UK centres (60%). One in six AAA screening programmes have stopped all screening activity: 30% having a significantly reduced programme and only half running as normal. Waiting lists are increasing for AAA, lower limb revascularisation and venous disease. CONCLUSION: Overall, these data suggest that vascular care in the NHS is facing unprecedented pressures due to COVID-19. Vascular stakeholders will have to urgently address these issues in the coming months. STUDY REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN 80453162 (registered prospectively).

Gastrointestinal Tract Colonization Rate of Extended-Spectrum Beta-Lactamase-Producing Gram-Negative Bacteria and Associated Factors Among Orthopaedic Patients in a Tertiary Hospital in Tanzania: Implications for Infection Prevention.

BACKGROUND: The dual burden of road traffic accidents and antimicrobial resistance in orthopaedic infections is challenging already strained health-care systems. Limited information exists in Tanzania on antimicrobial resistance surveillance to delineate the potential sources of multi-drug-resistant bacteria for specific mitigation strategies among orthopaedic patients. METHODS: A longitudinal study was conducted at Bugando Medical Centre in Mwanza city between January and May 2020. It involved the collection of rectal swabs/stools, hand swabs, and environmental sampling to identify extended-spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL)-producing gram-negative bacteria. Participants' data were collected using a structured questionnaire and analysed to determine factors associated with ESBL colonization among index orthopaedic patients and correlates with other ESBL sources using OR (95% CI) and a cut-off p-value of ≤0.05. RESULTS: We found that 47.2% (125/265) of index patients, 77.8% (14/18) of neighbouring patients, 8.3% (2/24) of health-care workers, 72.2% (13/18) of non-medical caregivers, and 31.4% (27/86) of samples taken from the hospital environment had ESBL producers. Escherichia coli and Klebsiella spp. predominated among participants and Acinetobacter spp. predominated in the environmental samples. Patients with open fractures had increased odds of being colonized with ESBL producers [OR (95% CI): 2.08 (1.16-3.75); p=0.015]. The floor below patients' beds was commonly contaminated; however, the odds of environmental contamination decreased on the third round of sampling [OR (95% CI: 0.16 (0.04-0.67); p=0.012], apparently as a result of parallel infection prevention and control responsive measures against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). CONCLUSION: We found a high occurrence of ESBL colonization among participants and in the environmentat this tertiary hospital. The importance of routine ESBL surveillance among orthopaedic patients with open fractures on admission and strengthened decontamination of health-care premises is reiterated.